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US Secretary of State Blinken: Turkish interests in Syria focus on combating terrorism; Key external participants should not trigger new conflicts.GBP/USD fell more than 0.50% in the day, and now it is reported at 1.2687.Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities: Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy. Improve the fiscal deficit ratio, and ensure that the fiscal policy will continue to exert more efforts. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities, said that the fiscal policy continued the general tone of "positive", which reflected the stability and continuity of the policy, but emphasized "more positive", which was mainly reflected in the increase of deficit ratio and the scale of special bonds and ultra-long-term special government bonds. It is expected that the scale of fiscal expenditure will be significantly increased and the growth rate of fiscal expenditure will be increased next year. The generalized deficit ratio probability in 2025 is higher than that in 2024. In his view, the narrow sense of deficit ratio has a high probability of exceeding 3%, and the improvement of deficit ratio has special significance, which can achieve triple effects. First, the increase in deficit ratio means a further increase in the deficit scale, which is conducive to expanding expenditure, strengthening the ability of fiscal countercyclical adjustment, better preventing risks, benefiting people's livelihood and stabilizing growth. Second, deficit ratio is different from other financial instruments, and the public pays great attention to deficit ratio and its changes. Therefore, fiscal policy should use limited "bullets" to stabilize expectations, and the same fiscal stimulus scale should be reflected in deficit ratio as much as possible. Deficit ratio can better convey policy intentions and has strong policy signal significance; Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. Third, the high probability of deficit is still dominated by central government bonds. The form of transfer payment can better ensure the stability of grassroots financial resources and increase the disposable degree of local financial resources, which is conducive to the local government's "three guarantees" work. (SSE)

Xue Hongyan, Vice President of Xingtu Financial Research Institute: Stabilizing the stock market means stabilizing expectations and confidence. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Why is the central government proposing to "stabilize the stock market" at this time node? What are the considerations behind it? Xue Hongyan, vice president of Xingtu Finance Research Institute, pointed out that the stock market is a barometer of the economy, and its ups and downs reflect the social expectation of the economic development prospects. In this sense, stabilizing the stock market will help to better form a positive and optimistic situation for development. Since the "924" policy shift, the A-share market has ushered in a round of surge, and the bull market has been widely discussed at the social level, which has effectively boosted market confidence. Therefore, in a sense, stabilizing the stock market means stabilizing expectations and confidence. The meeting proposed to deepen the comprehensive reform of investment and financing in the capital market. What is the internal relationship between this and "stabilizing the stock market", and how should the next step of "deepening the comprehensive reform of investment and financing in the capital market" be exerted? Xue Hongyan said that the value of the capital market is mainly reflected in two aspects: one is to serve the high-quality development of the real economy with financing function, and the other is to let investors share more fruits of economic development with investment function, which are mutually causal and indispensable. Xue Hongyan believes that this round of capital market reform, emphasizing on vigorously guiding medium and long-term funds to enter the market, opening up the blocking points of social security, insurance, wealth management and other funds to enter the market, and emphasizing the protection of the interests of small and medium-sized investors, will help fundamentally improve the capital supply and demand structure and micro-ecology, and lay a solid foundation for the long-term cattle market. (The country is a through train)European Central Bank President Lagarde: The neutral interest rate may be slightly higher than before. European Central Bank President Lagarde said that as it gradually approaches the neutral interest rate, it will further discuss its related issues. The neutral interest rate may be slightly higher than before, and will be discussed in due course.The forecast of the European Central Bank assumes that the oil price will be $81.8 per barrel in 2024, $71.8 per barrel in 2025, $70.1 per barrel in 2026 and $69.2 per barrel in 2027.

Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC): As there was no one-off income from equity securities trading in the last quarter, bank profits declined, which was partially offset by strong net interest income; The bank reported that its quarterly net interest income increased by $4.5 billion and its net interest margin rose to 3.23%. Bank of America's profits fell by 8.6% to $65.4 billion in the third quarter of 2024.US National Security Adviser Sullivan: We are seeking to reach a hostage release agreement and cease fire; Ceasefire and hostage agreement will begin to bring hostages home and greatly increase aid to Gaza.Institution: The European Central Bank may further cut interest rates by 100 basis points in 2025. Des Lawrence, an analyst at State Street Global Investment Management, said that after the European Central Bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points, it may cut interest rates by another 100 basis points in 2025. The senior investment strategist said in a report that the European Central Bank can and should cut interest rates further in the coming quarters. Lawrence said that the recent PMI data shows that the economic slowdown is expanding beyond the troubled manufacturing industry, and the service industry is also under pressure.